Will a RAVE team wallet move 10M tokens to an exchange this week?

Question

Resolves YES if any of the top 3 RAVE holder wallets (per Etherscan at the time of transfer) sends ≥10,000,000 RAVE tokens (cumulative per wallet) to any address labeled as a centralized exchange by Arkham Intelligence, between April 15 00:00 UTC and April 21 23:59 UTC. Intermediary wallets still count if the final destination is a CEX. Ethereum mainnet and Base only. Label at time of transaction controls.

Etherscan holders: https://etherscan.io/token/0x17205fab260a7a6383a81452cE6315A39370Db97#balances

Sources (in precedence order):
1. Arkham Intelligence — wallet labels + transaction history
2. Etherscan / Basescan — raw on-chain data
3. Nansen — cross-reference if labels disputed

Context: ~90% of RAVE's 1B supply sits in 3 Gnosis Safe wallets. Prior to the recent 45x rally, deployer-linked wallets transferred 18.58M RAVE to Bitget and triggered a short squeeze. This market asks whether top holders repeat the move this week.

TruthAlert · Accepted Answer

The market currently predicts 62% YES and 38% NO. Trade on TruthAlert at current odds.